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THE IC BUBBLE

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Get to know our Newsletter:
  "Year Six in Review"
  "Trinity"
  "Century in Review"
  "This Time it IS Different"

Is this a Mania?
  "The IC Bubble"

Inflation IS
 dead, Mr. Greenspan.
  "The Right to Arm Bears"

 

 

 


February 1999
THE IC BUBBLE

Inside:
The South-Sea Bubble
The Peter Principle —
   7 Million Online Traders Can’t All Be Wrong
Getting Excited At Home
Charts:
Yahoo!
Amazon.com
Schwab
At Home

Long, long ago, in an economy far, far away, normally sober men of business and trade became involved in a bout of speculative enthusiasm that is still talked about today. The episode was known as the South-Sea Bubble. The upstanding merchants of London town and thereabouts can be forgiven, however, for getting carried away because banking, paper money, stocks and shares were all new. Even the Prince of Wales got excited. Nobody understood then that there were limits to what could be accomplished using these new wonders of commerce. In other words, way back in 1720, investments, paper ones that is, could not grow to the sky. It was a painful lesson. Such a thing could never happen again. Could it? Not with paper anyway.

This time it is different. As was pointed out in our March 1998 issue by that very name, money has evolved from flocks of sheep, cattle and oxen to gold coins, gold bars and the paper that represented claims on them, and finally, into the system we enjoy today, one of electrons and photons, spinning and whirring at the speed of light from where buyers store them to where sellers count them. Gold coins went out of circulation in the 1930s. Silver followed thirty years later and now we are poised on the verge of an era where cash itself may go the way of the $20 gold piece. (Incidentally, such a coin has about $285 worth of gold in it.)

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